#FDR

Capitol Hill riot now likened to Kristallnacht & Pearl Harbor

What is it with polarized politics that causes people to make comparisons using yardsticks which are completely unfathomable? So much so that it ends up trivializing major tragedies in the process.

After the despicable, but clumsy Capitol Hill riot, Senator Chuck Schumer compared it to a “day in infamy,” the very words FDR pronounced at the time of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor.

Seriously? Are a bunch of unorganized mugs overestimating their agency in anyway on a par with Imperial Japanese Navy fighter pilots killing thousands?

Now Trump-hating Arnold Schwarzenegger has made a video comparing the events of Jan 6, 2021 to Kristallnacht in 1938. Are a bunch of unorganized mugs overestimating their agency in anyway on a par with the 4 million strong Sturm Arbeitlung of Nazi Germany? Seriously?

We are surprised that Schwarzenegger or Schumer didn’t make mention of the 20+ lives lost during the BLM/Antifa protests which were ideologically more disturbing for the aggressive manner in which history has been erased. A far better example of groups who don’t care about democracy.

We were surprised they didn’t speak of all the decent law enforcement officers who were maligned, beaten and in some cases murdered, like retired police chief David Dorn.

We are surprised that they didn’t mention the thugs waiting out the front of the White House who physically assaulted people, including senators who were leaving a Trump rally. Precious little display of democracy there.

We wonder why Arnie couldn’t see how the original cause of protesting the death of George Floyd morphed into something that extended to punish, destroy, assault, murder, loot, burn and crush those that didn’t conform to the Marxist manifesto of BLM or any other grievance du jour? Just bash innocent people.

How could he have missed so many leading Democrats pushing to defund the police and encourage rioters? Incoming VP Kamala Harris said, “protestors should not let up“. Don’t forget she was a big supporter of the Minnesota Freedom Fund which helped bail out alleged child sex offenders and other felons.

Speaker Pelosi said, “people will do what they will do.” Rep Ayanna Pressley proclaimed, “there needs to be unrest in the streets!”

Unfortunately, Schwarzenegger said that we need leaders who have a “servant’s heart.” Those that will put public interest above their own. Fat chance finding it in people like Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who apart from being the third most powerful person in the country, represents a district that has some of the highest rates of poverty in America.

There is one area we agreed with Arnie – wishing Biden the best of success for his administration. That would be a welcome change to the last 4 years where the left leaning media and political machine of the Democrats have done their utmost to delegitimize Trump’s presidency.

We also don’t think Biden tweeting that the outcome on the Capitol would have been different if BLM were the perpetrators instead of Trump supporters is the stuff that builds unity. That type of race-baiting division suggests harmony is a long way off.

Schwarzenegger needs to go back and study history again. He might refresh his memory and consider Big Tech censorship as a modern day form of book burning where the removal of people’s rights to free speech undermines the very democracy he emphatically demands be protected.

If FDR had to deal with Trump’s press gallery

Image may contain: 16 people, possible text that says 'Mr. President!! Do you feel guilty for all the sailors we lost lost Sunday? Why do you insist on calling it"the "the attack on Pearl Harbor? Many say that your oil embargo Japan led the war. there blood on your hands? What about the sailors trapped in Arizona? You've had years to prepare. Why wasn't our Navy ready? Are you going to resign? If FDR had to deal with a press corp like President Trump's.'

There can be no doubt the mainstream media has been utterly lacking in journalistic integrity since Trump took office.

Just when we thought lower depths couldn’t be plunged, COVID19 has proven that ethics in reporting will only return when the media loves America more than they hate Trump.

Does the data show Donald in the dumpster?

Midterm

This is a simple schematic of first term presidents and the results at the ballot box of their first mid term. Since 1910, the incumbent parties have invariably lost ground. More interestingly, Democrats had control of either/both House of Reps and Senate during Nixon, Ford, Reagan and Bush Sr – all Republicans. Republican Presidents Taft, Harding, Hoover, Eisenhower and Trump lost the House at the midterms. Truman, Clinton and Obama suffered the same fate for the Democrats.

Trump achieved the highest number of Senate seats taken by a first term Republican president for over 100 years. George W Bush achieved rising numbers for HoR/Senate  post 9/11 but only Democrats have achieved the feat – Woodrow Wilson, FDR and JFK. Perhaps the irrelevance of the outcomes in the mid-terms is that despite the floggings Wilson, Truman, Ike, Reagan, Clinton, Bush Jr and Obama all were comfortably reelected for a second term.

Given the headwinds Trump was facing from the mainstream media, his unorthodox outbursts, twitter tirades and so forth, the electorate didn’t grant the Democrats a huge gift  they were expecting. Even worse they gave Trump a bigger authority to appoint SC justices should an opportunity arise by bumping his numbers in the Senate. Not surprising given the shocking gutter level political theatre over Justice Kavanaugh, vindicated by  victims confessing they had lied.

The Democrats should still be concerned that the $70mn spent on Beto O’Rourke came to nothing.  Beyonce also endorsed Beto. Oprah endorsed Abrams in Georgia – who is likely to lose. Taylor Swift endorsed Bredesen – who also lost. All four candidates openly supported by Obama lost. So much for celebrity power swaying electorates. It probably had a counter effect.

Even worse, in Nevada a brothel owner and reality TV star won his race despite dying last month. It is hard to work out what is the bigger tragedy. Voting for someone dead or being the competing Democrat to lose to a dead person. A Republican is to be appointed to the seat by county officials.

We shouldn’t forget that the Republicans had the highest number of sitting member retirements at a first midterm in the House of Representatives for 88 years. 25 seats had a new face. Republicans won re-election as governors in New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts and Maryland – three of them deep blue states. Where was the mainstream media on that?

Midterm VT.png

Turnout was good (for a mid term). 48.1% voted in 2018. In the last 100 years the average has been 41%. Only in 1966, did the first midterm of LBJ exceed this level at 48.7%. So much for either party causing a red or blue wave. Less than half of eligible voters showed up on November 6th 2018. More cared, but not enough.

Felons make for an interesting outlier subset. While it is hard to know their exact voting intentions, for the Gubernatorial in Georgia, would 219,431 felons have made a difference for Abrams? She trails Kemp by just under 100,000 votes. So if 55% of felons (the Georgia midterm turnout ratio) voted, 120,687 votes were up for grabs. Were it legal for Georgian state felons to vote, she would have been wise to campaign there.

Felons

Now that the Democrats have the lower house, one wonders why they have put Nancy Pelosi in charge of the House? This is possibly to be contested. Up to fifty Democrat congressmen might oppose her for Speaker. Trump couldn’t wish for a better adversary as her litany of gaffes will undoubtedly embarrass her party. Pelosi represents pretty much everything Americans have come to despise about the Democrats.

More worryingly, Maxine Waters is being put in charge of the Financial Services Committee. At a point in the cycle where financial acumen is probably most required, this is an embarrassment, made worse by her open calls for payback.

The Democrats need fresh faces. Ones that will look for bipartisan support. If the Democrats embark upon a cocktail of revenge politics and look to push for investigation after investigation in order to impeach Trump but end up with nothing they will be seen for what they are – a party completely self-absorbed with petty vendettas. The toxic Senate debacle should have given them warning enough that voters won’t tolerate more political roadkill like that going forward.  Yet Pelosi will likely use her subpoena powers to drag everything through the gutter instead of working to improve things for Americans. Failure here will only lead the electorate to conclude they wasted two years and gift wrap 2020 for Trump.

This mid-term election was anything but a slam dunk. Put aside personal hatred of Trump, look at the data and see that Americans did not write him off as many pundits predicted. It should be more scary to realise that he is probably more Teflon-Don than he was in 2016. Second biggest mid-term turnout in history, highest net gain of seats in the Senate in 100 years for a first term GOP president, record dollars thrown at Democrat candidates backed by Trump-hating billionaires. At the end of the day folks, this is just the data talking.

Mid Term Turnout.png