#falseeconomy

Statistically, is there a point downloading the COVIDSafe app?

Given that so many people happily give away their private information on social media, why should anyone object to downloading the new COVIDSafe app? Do you really trust your government not to store your info?

The government intends to send a message if you’d been in the vicinity of someone that may catch it down the line so you can freak out that there is a 99.98% chance you probably haven’t got it. You have a 211x higher chance of dying of heart disease or 37x more likelihood to be killed by the flu. You’d have a 36x higher chance of dying from an accident such as falling off a ladder.

While the intention is good, is there a point to have it, statistically speaking?

0.027% of the population or 6,711 people have been identified with COVID19 after 500,000 tests.

0.00033% or 83 people have died from it. So in short, 99.973% haven’t knowingly caught coronavirus and 99.9997% haven’t died from it.

Even if we unrealistically annualized those COVID19 deaths we would get around 496 in total.

Compare that to the figures 158,000 deaths in Australia in 2018. We included the average age of those who died in brackets.

Heart disease claimed 17,533 (84.7)

Dementia/Altzheimer – 13,963 (89.0)

Ceberovascular disease – 9,972 (86.2)

Throat/Lung disease – 8,586 (73.6)

Respiratory disease – 7,889 (80.9)

COVID deaths in Australia average 79 years and we can imagine that comorbidity has been a driving factor than just coronavirus in isolation.

In essence, the COVIDSafe app would offer you next to no value added:

1) because if your neighbours didn’t download the app you wouldn’t know, much less have a guarantee they switched their Bluetooth on to activate the app.

2) if your fellow citizens did have coronavirus it is unlikely they’d be floating around Woolies or Coles until they’d recovered.

3) if a coronavirus carrier didn’t download the app you wouldn’t get a message.

We are already amazed at how many people are openly stating on their social media profiles that they’ve downloaded it. Why should the ability for the economy to reopen pend on an app which isn’t compulsory and won’t tell us much? How sheepish can people be without considering the data?

As we’ve contended for a while, the hysteria and reaction to the virus is disproportionate to the profound economic damage that it is creating.

Time to reopen the economy. People are already well on top of social distancing. Restaurants should be able to open as “reservation only” so they can adequately create distances between tables.

We think the app creates more fear mongering than actual output.

Remember 99.987% haven’t got it. Is it worth killing the economy? The JobKeeper program alone is costing $1.5 billion per death and $19 million per infected so far. That is false economics.

Truth 1, Identity politics -1

Jussie Smollett gave us the perfect example of why identity politics is so poisonous. Here was a man potentially willing to make a claim against two innocent white people and jail them for up to 20 years for hate crimes not committed just to bump his salary and smear 63mn Trump supporters at the same time. Smollett appears to be exactly what he condemns.

Identity politics creates a marketplace for victimhood. CM made these very remarks as the #metoo market started to gain momentum 18 months ago. How many men have been wrongfully accused of crimes they haven’t committed? Has anything happened to those women who admitted they lied about SCJ Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulting them? Are we just to believe all women? All LGBT without question? Do activists truly speak on behalf of all minorities? Of course not. The truth is that the overwhelming majority of women, LGBT and minorities are fair minded people. Most don’t tie themselves up in this nonsense.

Look at how quickly Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Maxine Waters & Nancy Pelosi jumped behind Jussie to condemn the racist MAGA lynch mob. No facts. Just feelings. More ammo to condemn Trump. Instead of openly apologizing to those they hastily condemned, they did the exact opposite – dishonorably deleting the tweets which showed them up for the double standards they clearly uphold (and we worry about Trump’s twitchy finger on the nuke button with knee-jerkers like this?!?). So out of touch are the liberals who blindly backed the false claim, that Jussie Smollett even lost serial SJW Alyssa Milano’s support. That’s a miracle in itself.

What of the $100,000s the Chicago Police Department was forced to spend to investigate a lie? What thought did Smollett give real victims of crime to divert resources away just to promote his own career? The CPD Chief was bang on the money with the selfish act.

Smollett’s Class 4 felony carries up to a 1.5 year jail term. If he is found guilty, he should serve the maximum penalty possible. Being gay or black should play no part in sentencing. All crimes should be equal in front of the law regardless of political affiliation, race, gender, sexual proclivity or any other identity marker.

On the plus side, Smollett has substantially undermined the identity politics industry. This, like Covington, will be a gift that keeps giving for libertarians. The numerous Democratic presidential nominees only showed how dysfunctional they are to champion identity ahead of character. This wasn’t about policy and praying for a united America. It was all about tribalism. All they did was make their base out to be fools.

Some suggested there be leniency shown toward Smollett in sentencing. There in lies the problem. The media are so desperate to run narratives that fact checking be damned. So frothing at the mouth have they become that anything will do if it can smear those who hold different opinions. How soon the repentant media forgot the promises over their mistakes surrounding Covington before their derangement syndrome got the better of them again.

The really sad part is that the media were so desperate that Smollett’s original hoax was true that they fell apart when it was found to be a lie. Disappointment when the narrative fails to back up subjective views. The mainstream media want disunity, discord and animosity to feed their ratings. Enemy of the people? Certainly not friends.

Perhaps the irony in all of this is that had Smollett truly cared to stage a believable attack he should have paid white actors to do it. The problem might have have been that they cost substantially more than the two gentlemen he paid by personal cheque (talk about leaving paper trails). Proves the old adage, “you get what you pay for.” False economy in a nutshell.

Had Smollett embraced libertarian values of meritocracy, hard work and opportunity he may have earned his pay rise legitimately. By embracing liberal values of perpetual victimhood by throwing 63mn people under a bus, he has now self-inflicted his own demise. Just desserts, even in prison.