#dearleader

What do Victorians think of Chairman Dan?

Kim Jong-un's 'Pleasure Squad': Inside twisted world where ...

Victorian Premier Dan Andrews continues to receive accolades on his FB page. It is extraordinary. We just can’t reconcile how in the face of such overwhelming evidence of incompetence, that residents can still praise him.

It reminds us of a joke once told by President Reagan:

“An American and a Russian are sitting in a bar, arguing over whose country was better. The American argues,

“See, in America, I am free to do whatever I want. If I wanted to, I could walk right into the White House, slam my fist on the President’s desk, and say ‘Mr. President, I don’t like the way you are running our country.'”

The Russian then said, “I can do the same thing.”

“Really? You can?” asks the American.

“Yes,” continues the Russian, “If I wanted to, I could walk right into the Kremlin, slam my fist on the General Secretary’s office, and say ‘Mr. General Secretary, I don’t like the way President Reagan is running his country.'”

Here are some of the answers to Dan Andrews’ post despite the heavy handed police state tactics:

“Keep going Dan – you continue to work tirelessly and many of us Victorians are so grateful for your leadership” – Katrina Ann


“Thank you Dan!
Appreciate and thankful for the time, energy and hard work that you and your team have spent looking after Victoria. We are proud of you.”
– Helen Joyce


“The commitment to accept responsibility, and to turn up every day until it’s done is the true test of leadership. Thank you for your passion, for putting in the hard work, and pursuing solutions, no matter what happens on your watch. You’re way out in front of the crowd Dan.” – Adrian Robb


“Congratulations on 50 days straight! Thank you for being such a fabulous leader – considered, calm and strong. You and Professor Sutton are our saving grace. x #FanofDan #IStandWithDan” – Leanne Tonkes


“Well done dan! You are doing the best you can. I’d like to see the rude people try to live a day in your shoes! Keep it up 👍 “- Tamara Campion


Dan Andrew’s is doing a terrific job in Victoria ,he has put the safety of the Citizens he is responsible for as top priority .He keeps his state informed and up to date every day yet he gets ridiculed by media reporter’s .Why are the media so scared to criticize Mr Morrison and his government if Morrison was only doing half of the communications Dan Andrew’s is doing the Citizens would feel much more secure.” – Bob N Jan


Good job Dan. Australis is watching and want you for Prime minister.” – Jen Dunn


Although some sanity prevailed:

“You are a Criminal and a Traitor!
Many of us know who the real Daniel Andrews is and we also know the real plan too!
It was never about the Vaccine was it?
No it wasn’t!
When are you going to tell the people what‘s really going on?”
– Jarrod Edwardian


Hey Dan Andrews everyone right, we want you to go.You are incompetent and many times worst than corona virus for Victorians.” – Haluk Kar


You are right to go! Please leave, your service no longer required.” – Trish DiDo


Please report the stats on how many lives have been and will be lost due to the economic disaster as a result of lock down? How many will die from suicide, poverty and domestic violence? #endthelockdown” – Scott Peter


Go where? You’ve stripped us of all our rights and livelihood.. The only place we’re going is bankrupt.. Ohhh wait, silly me.. You mean are we right to go as in, are we ready for some more lies? Yes carry on… 🤥” – Alfa Omega


Right to go you say!!
We can’t go anywhere because In the first time in Australian History our state is LOCKED DOWN BECAUSE OF YOUR INCOMPETENCE!!!!
” – Shadi Bakir


I was all for Mr Andrews but after his outrageously poor judgement to not appoint highly trained personal for such a delicate situation has made me think we need a new premier! Oh and why not test EVERYONE this is when we will see all asymptomatic people surface that’s not rocket science..” – Rhonda Miller


“You are destroying Victoria and it should be the opposite You may have the best intentions but you dont have the right ways Stop for a moment and seek advice there is other ways lockdowns are over” – Alberto Kebakovski

Power to enter your home without a warrant?

Paul Murray sensibly summarizes Premier Dan Andrews proposed 12 month lockdown and calls out the disgraceful media response to it.

It is shocking to see that a government with no Plan B thinks it should have the right to detain people and enter their homes without a warrant.

Victorians voted in Andrews despite the many scandals attached to him ahead of the election last year. Shame on the coalition for not defeating such a flawed candidate but there can be no question that buyer’s remorse is sinking in. Although not for all.

We encourage people to look at Dan Andrews Facebook page to see how many still compliment him for his unparalleled insight into the crisis. It is so effusive in praise that even Kim Jong-un would blush.

Kim’s pulse will be electromagnetic if he picks the wrong target

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Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) is the latest buzzword coming from North Korea. The subject of EMP was revealed in James Bond 007 GoldenEye when Xenia Onnatop stole a helicopter and helped detonate ‘Petya’ over Sevrenaya. Anything with an electric circuit would be rendered unusable. Japanese breakfast programs were talking about what EMP might do if Kim Jong Un detonated a nuke at low altitude. Don’t forget the bomb dropped on Hiroshima exploded at 500ft. The impacts are greater.

The reality of EMP is more relevant in space. Much of the US military backbone comes from a vast array of spy and military satellites which help smart bombs and cruise missiles hit targets with such precision and connectivity between land, sea and sky. Much of the modern US satellite hardware is EMP resistant but it isn’t “bulletproof” to space junk. If Kim was able to detonate a nuke in space it could knock out some of the network. Apart from the billions invested in satellites we need to understand just how seriously America regards space as a sanctuary. Around 5 years ago the Chinese fired a missile to shoot down one of their older satellites. Apart from the advancement in Chinese technology which was of concern to the US it was also the amount of space junk from floating schrapnel that could damage US assets in space. If Kim hits satellites in low orbit he also risks taking out Russian and Chinese satellites too.

Remember when Reagan spoke of Star Wars in the 1980s? The point to weaponise space such that rogue enemy ICBMs could be taken out in the outer atmosphere.

The point here is simple. Should Kim threaten to drop an H-Bomb on Tokyo he leaves such a massive exposure to himself. US satellites remain active and he would be squashed in no time by military reprisals. There would be no way that China could stand by and back him were he to make such an attack.

The more disturbing point here is that he is rattling a sabre which is bearing ever closer to a line where the West is forced to take action to prevent his rogue status from having proper fangs. War on the Korean Peninsula is not an impossibility and the more the US chain is yanked the higher the likelihood action is taken. Markets aren’t pricing this.

North Korean Roulette

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In years gone past, North Korea used to up the ante on its belligerence when it needed a cash injection. Its neighbours tended to see that as the easiest way to put the Hermit Kingdom back in its place. Sure enough the North Koreans went away until the next ‘hit’ was required. China bought coal from North Korea to give it hard currency and prevent 20 million starving refugees trying to cross its border. It is no surprise that China has mobilized 150,000 troops to watch it. China has recently banned coal imports from North Korea to send a message that KJ-U’s antics can’t be tolerated. It may well be that the Trump/Xi dinner at Mar-a-Lago wasn’t clinking champagne but scoffing Red Bull over a chess board.

The chart above shows the extent of Kim Jong-Un’s thirst for missile testing. For a man willing to knock off his own brother, a man who looked as if he had no eyes on usurping Dear Leader, Kim Jong-Un will be an all or nothing trade. Cutting the head off this snake would plunge North Korea into deep crisis. It is highly likely that the many of the adoring generals all hate each other. Although China is likely to have a puppet in waiting.

The other problem is that all the while no action is taken, PyongYang’s arsenal grows more sophisticated. Eventually it will be sufficiently credible. In 1994 then President Bill Clinton came closest to taking action against its nuclear capability but in the end chose diplomacy.

On April 10, China’s special envoy on the North Korean nuclear programme, Wu Dawei, visited Seoul with the idea of pushing a harder UN resolution in case of another nuclear test. In the short term China is hoping a short term halt to coal imports will bring Kim Jong-Un to heel they have not ruled out removing him.entirely. It is the least preferred option but now Trump has dispatched a carrier battle group nearby China is being forced to up the ante.

Let us not forget the strategic benefits of North Korea to China. It provides a buffer to the US friendly South Korea and keeps China the dominant player geopolitically in the peninsula. However China must be thinking Kim Jong-Un is becoming more of a liability than an asset. How does it keep the strategic importance of North Korea in a palatable package that even Trump can tolerate?

North Korea has 3 main nuclear missile launch sites (Musudan-Ri,  Punggye-Ri and Tongchang-Ri) among the fourteen nuclear facilities ranging from R&D, power generation,  mining and refined fissile material production. A surgical strike would be difficult to achieve without North Korea getting away a few missiles itself. Naturally Japan would be a soft target for reprisal given its pacifist nature.

China has no choice but to step up to prevent the US giving it a bigger headache than it already has. Trump has clearly shown he is willing to pull the trigger when nations get out of line. Should he shoot one of Kim Jong-Un’s missile tests down to show he isn’t joking Kim will need to weigh up being a laughing stock by backing down or go down in a blaze of glory. Somehow China will be summoning Sun Tzu before it escalates out of its control.

One interesting take is the reaction on financial markets. South Korean CDS have jumped from 50bps to 57bps in recent days.  When Kim Jong-Il died these rates surged to 240bps from around 100bps. GFC by way of comparison was 700bps. The Korean Won has slid for 6 days running but it hardly looks like a collapse.