#absenteeballots

Will apathetic US voters come out of the woodwork?

We look at voter trends in the US going back to 1828 to see the pattern of voting trends as a % of total voting age population (TVAP). We also include the political party that won in that year by colour – GOP (red), Democrat (blue).

Since 1968, votes as a % of TVAP has failed to beat the 60% threshold in a presidential election year. On Trump’s victory in 2016 we declared that the one thing he was guaranteed to do is highlight the importance of voting. Will we see it on November 3rd?

If we assume that 60% is breached for TVAP an extra 13.2 million votes could be cast. 70% would equate to an extra 38.2 million votes and assuming enough people registered, the peak of 81.8% of TVAP would see a staggering 67.7 million extra votes.

To be put that in context vs 2016 when 136.67 million votes were cast, 60%, 70% and 81.8% TVAP would equate to a further 9.7%, 27.9% and 49.5% respectively.

As we write, a record 28 million ballots have been reported cast. Reporting states with party registration data: CA, CO, FL, IA, KS, KY, MD, ME, NC, NE, NJ, NM, NV, OK, PA, SD show that:

23.5m ballots were requested by Democrats. 6 million returned.

13.2m ballots were requested by Republicans. 2.66m returned.

14.7m ballots were requested by those with no party affiliation. 2.2m returned.

Even stripping out COVID and the desire for mail-in/absentee ballots, will gross turnout simply render predictions as useless as 2016? Perhaps 10 million+ new silent voters may roar. We watch with interest.

Democrat Party Official admits to receiving bribes to stuff ballot boxes with multiple votes

The DOJ has charged 73-year-old Domenick J. DeMuro, a Democratic Party elections judge who admitted to taking bribes to stuff ballot boxes with multiple votes in favour of Democratic candidates in 2014, 2015 and 2016 in South Philadelphia. DeMuro pleaded guilty.

We note in recent days that Trump has been questioning mail-in voting actions in states like Michigan on the grounds of the risks of voter fraud.

In 2005, former US President Jimmy Carter (Democrat) and former Chief of Staff James Baker (Republican) were tasked with an independent review under the banner of the National Commission on Federal Election Reform.

The Commission on Federal Election Reform’s conclusions were:

  1. “Absentee ballots remain the largest source of potential voter fraud.” The Carter-Baker Commission argued that national voter identification was needed to prevent real ballot fraud (especially as absentee voting could lead to double voting across states by submitting by mail and voting on election day) and to keep public confidence in the election process.
  2. The Carter-Baker Commission recommended a move toward nonpartisan election administration. They recommended professional election administrators were appointed by governors which were approved by a supermajority vote of state legislators. The supermajority requirement would ensure legitimate bipartisan support for the election administrators.
  3. Twenty-seven states require or request some form of ID to vote. Supporters of this policy argue that if voters identify themselves before voting, election fraud will be reduced. Opponents of an ID requirement fear it will disenfranchise voters, especially the poor, members of minority groups and the elderly, who are less likely than other voters to have suitable identification. The Carter Center in 2008 noted that in three states with voter ID requirements — Indiana, Mississippi and Maryland — only about 1.2% of registered voters lacked a photo ID.
  4. The Commission offered a proposal to bridge the partisan divide by suggesting a uniform voter photo ID, based on the federal Real ID Act of 2005, to be phased in over five years. To help with the transition, states would provide free voter photo ID cards for eligible citizens; mobile units would be sent out to provide the IDs and register voters.

Alas, it was a wonderful study that hasn’t progressed much as electoral fraud remains a partisan battleground.

Here is an interesting video discussing views on voter ID laws. Just shows how ignorant some liberal-minded Americans are with respect to minorities.

We should remind you that 25 states (mainly Democrat) are working to pass a law that requires presidential candidates to release their tax returns in order to appear on the ballot. This law is specifically designed to keep Trump’s name off given his resistance to disclosing them.

One has to wonder why state legislators feel they must intervene and take away the democratic rights of voters to determine whether a candidate’s tax returns (specifically Trump’s) were a big enough issue for them. Obviously above their pay grade.

How many more DeMuros are out there?