Geopolitics

Making hay while the rain falls?

We were surprised to see Dymocks bookstore put former Australian Climate Change Commissioner Tim Flannery’s latest book in the science section.

Amazon’s review notes, “Tim Flannery takes aim at those responsible for the campaign of obfuscation and denial that has already cost so many Australian lives and held back action on climate change.” Really?

Exactly how many lives has climate change claimed in Australia? The Australian Bureau of Statistics record the accumulated deaths from ‘Environmental-pollution-related-condition (Y97)‘ over the last decade at ZERO!!!!  Strange that climate related deaths have plunged over 80% in the last 4 decades. 

Many of Flannery’s climate predictions have also failed to eventuate.

In 2007, Flannery said, “So even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and our river systems…” Today, Sydney’s main water supply at Warragamba Dam is currently at 97.8% capacity.

In 2015, he claimed that “Sadly we’re more likely to see them [cyclones] more frequently in the future” when referring to a cyclone that hit Vanuatu. Global data shows no such trends. The UNIPCC’s extreme weather report updated in 2018 stated on page 8, “There is low confidence in any observed long-term (i.e., 40 years or more) increases in tropical cyclone activity (i.e., intensity, frequency, duration), after accounting for past changes in observing capabilities.”

We thought the nonsense peddled on the bushfires by The Climate Council, which Flannery chairs, spoke volumes. Our data concluded that one of its authors, who led the former fire chiefs’ crusade to blame the devastating bushfires on climate change, didn’t mention the topic when he ran one of the fire services. That is to say it that the severity of climate change to bushfire activity in these Magnus opera were conspicuous by their absence.

We think the upcoming 2020 annual reports from fire services across Australia will be dripping in climate change related topics which will only end up highlighting how it has become nothing more than a CYA convenient excuse to mask years of poor fire management.  Take this example of the commitment to mitigating the inherent risks of busfires in the 2018/19 FRNSW Annual Report:

“Where practicable, FRNSW crews were encouraged to turn off all non-essential lights on 30 March 2019 from 8:30pm until 9:30pm, joining millions of people worldwide in showing their commitment to tackling climate change and inspiring all generations to support environmental initiatives and sustainable climate policy.”

A study of how fire service budgets were allocated in recent years further highlights the alarming problem behind the bureaucratic mismanagement. 

What has become even less surprising than the lack of science peddled before us surrounding COVID-19 in recent months, is the convenient segue of supposed conventional wisdom – The Great Reset – pointing back to the fantastic opportunity to push the climate change agenda to solve for poverty, racial inequity and all other economic ills. After all, US Treasury Secretary-elect Janet Yellen has assured us her department will take care of it. Who knew?

Apart from climate change having zero correlation to COVID-19, despite Prince Harry ‘s best efforts to conflate the link, Tim Flannery has seen a great opportunity to make a quid off the theme. No harm in making hay while the rain pours. 

Still we question why so many climate alarmists believe that replacing fossil fuels with renewables will solve for saving the planet and put an end to poverty?

We are not sure how that works?

When one of the leading renewables-driven developed nations, Germany, has such high levels of energy poverty, how can this be?  In 2019, 4.75 million households received warnings that their electricity would be shut off (289,000 actually got disconnected), according to the German Federal Networks Agency (Bundesnetzagentur). All this because of a doubling of energy prices (despite studies that predicted a fall at the time of policy conception) which are a direct result of disastrous green energy diktats which started two decades ago.

The flip side is India, a developing nation. Its electricity generation policies,  according to the World Bank, lifted 271 million people out of energy poverty between 2007 and 2017 largely thanks to low priced coal-fired power. So before all the ‘Stop Adani’ climate emergency extinction rebellion crowd start pontificating that we must go carbon neutral, perhaps they might go and survey the 271mn locals as to whether they demand change??

Michael Shellenberger’s latest book, ‘Apocalypse Never‘, takes a realistic view of how to achieve optimal outcomes for the climate, renewables not being part of the equation.

Still, the best way to truly evaluate the seriousness of climate change is by watching the consumption habits of those who peddle it.

We always found it strange that Obama moved to the shores of Martha’s Vineyard last year despite the risk of rising sea levels. Former Aussie PM Kevin Rudd has also bought waterfront property recently despite climate change being the “moral challenge of our times.

Looking at 1,500 private jets clogging airports at a World Economic Forum summit takes some beating too, not to mention the 25,000 pilgrims that fly halfway across the world to attend COP summits and then tell mothers who drop their kids off at soccer practice in a 2nd-hand SUV that they are the problem. No excuses anymore. They can Zoom. 25,000 group thinkers on a screen…their individual relevance in direct proportion to the size of their microscopic avatar.

Media worth consuming – a recap of December 2020

My good mate Jonathan Rochford of Narrow Road Capital has compiled a brilliant summary of the recent madness in markets, politics and economics. One could be forgiven for thinking it is a lot like satire. Link here.

Quid Pro Joe over Brexit?

Former VP Joe Biden is putting pressure on UK PM Boris Johnson to strike a deal with the EU on trade.

In September 2020, Biden said,

We can’t allow the Good Friday Agreement that brought peace to Northern Ireland to become a casualty of Brexit. Any trade deal between the U.S. and U.K. must be contingent upon respect for the Agreement and preventing the return of a hard border. Period.”

So effectively the Biden administration wants to dictate terms to one of its closest allies and the world’s oldest democracy. Even if a trade deal with the EU turns out to be so disadvantageous to the UK, Quid Pro Joe is effectively saying “take it or else” otherwise your trade deal with the US will be affected.

Should Johnson forget the referendum and quasi second referendum where the majority of British voters spoke about leaving the EU? His duty is to follow through on that, not be threatened by the US. If a “no deal” ends up better for Britons than any trade negotiation, Biden should accept that democratic decision, not try to bully an outcome for his globalists pals. Perhaps Hunter Biden can get a lucrative job as an EU trade advisor?

Cringeworthy Celebrities celebrate NY Gov Cuomo’s Emmy Award

You can’t make this stuff up.

NY Gov Andrew Cuomo accepted the International Emmy Founders Award for his COVID19 response. Woke celebrities then lavished him with praise in a completely out of touch cringe fest.

The International Emmy Awards tweeted,

Gov Andrew M Cuomo of NY will receive the International Emmy Founders Award in recognition of his leadership during the Covid19 pandemic & his masterful use of TV to inform & calm people around the world.

How telling that the Emmy’s focused on delivery as opposed to results.

How ironic that Cuomo not only laid claim to the most disastrous COVID19 stats of any state but mandated COVID positive patients into nursing homes which directly led to the deaths of 6,000 elderly residents.

Even worse Cuomo ordered the NY Health Dept to conduct an independent review of the disastrous policy and amazingly it found no fault in his leadership. Who knew self audits would produce such results?

So poor was Cuomo’s response during the crisis that many wealthy folk responsible for 50% of NYC’s tax revenue left the city which saw the NY Gov issue a cringeworthy video pleading for them to come back promising to buy them a drink or cook for them to get them to pay taxes.

Perhaps even more pathetic was his attempt to over-regulate on what constituted a meal in bars when local businesses tried to innovate with cheap “Cuomo Chips” to drive patronage. Oh, no you don’t. One must have a proper meal and Cuomo’s team will tell you what makes the grade.

So arrogant has Cuomo’s leadership been that he had a poster commissioned which highlighted the supposed successes of his COVID response.

After all this, just how out of touch is Cuomo to accept the award by a body that is as clueless as the Emmys for even considering it? We guess it proves that black is white, up is down and war is peace. Just don’t believe your lying eyes.

5 Lessons to live by

Great speech made by Rep Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) on the 5 lessons he learnt as a Navy SEAL. Really worth listening to.

Biden faded fast and choked in the last section

First of all, Kristen Welker did a very good job as moderator. Even Trump praised her.

Joe Biden started off well but faded fast in the back half of the debate. He didn’t handle the saga around his son, Hunter, well. He sounded rattled and will only draw more eyeballs to the suppressed media coverage.

Trump explained his points far better that in the first debate. Getting rid of COVID in the first question allowed the more powerful points for Trump in the back half where he could made significant ground around the economy, foreign policy, race and health.

Trump executed well by slamming Biden for being a “politician” who promises stuff but doesn’t deliver. That he hasn’t achieved the things he proposes now in 47 years in politics or 8 years as VP. Biden even disparaged Obama by saying he can do things he wants if he is president.

When Biden raised Hitler in the debate, he started to back pedal fast. Why talk about Nazism?

Biden’s stupidity was to touch on $15 minimum wages to help small business. Is he nuts? What small business in trouble thinks that recovery will come through higher wages?

Biden asked people to fact check his position on fracking. He said he wouldn’t ban it in today’s debate but is on tape countless times saying he would. Too easy to prove he is lying. Biden’s renewables push was hopeless and Trump made it clear why the US doesn’t need to be in the Paris Accord.

At the very end Biden chucked the oil industry under the bus in the closing remarks of the climate change section. Trump pushed him and he took the bait to say he wants to phase it out for good. Surely not the thing to say in fossil fuel dependent swing states.

In summary, this election will be determined by “lived experience“. Nothing is more powerful than becoming irate at a politician telling you what you aren’t experiencing.

We think the actions of mostly despotic Democratic mayors and governors throughout coronavirus have sent a negative message about what happens when citizens lose control and cede power to law makers.

We still believe Trump has got this.

Chinese state TV cut feed when Pence was criticizing China

No guesses as to which party the Chinese Communist Party wishes to win the US election.

When VP Mike Pence spoke about China his feed was cut by state censors. When Senator Kamala Harris spoke, she was given full stream.

Censorship. No doubt the Chinese media played Kamala Harris’ claim that foreign leaders hold President Xi in higher regard than President Trump on a loop.

Not even one question on peace deal from WH journalists

White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany ripped the assembled journalists for not asking one single question (video here) on the historic peace deal signed. So entrenched is is their Trump Derangement Syndrome that they can’t stomach anything that might be construed as a positive.

We also found it highly amusing that Obama’s former Secretary of State John Kerry said a peace deal between Arab states and Israel would never happen. Amusing to think how these career politicians can’t form the very deals over decades that Trump has completed in his first term.

Journalistic integrity will only return when the press loves America more than they hate Trump.

If this is the extent of oppression, the war is almost won, no?

Redskins

It is hard to keep up with the cancel culture – ripping down statues of historic figures who freed slaves, cancelling 80 year-old movies, banning comedies, stopping production of skin creams, renaming pancake syrup, and now children’s candy. So many products that nobody raised a whimper over for decades now all of a sudden have been deemed racist and we are drowning in nauseating woke apologies from corporate PR departments, many of whom have highly challenged pasts themselves meaning they are in no position to lecture the rest of us.

Now Australian candies, Redskins and Chicos will be renamed. Nestle, the owner of the Allens brand, wrote,

This decision acknowledges the need to ensure that nothing we do marginalises our friends, neighbours and colleagues...the names have overtones which are out of step with Nestle’s values, which are rooted in respect.

Can Nestle give us a comprehensive list of the number of complaints made because of these names? Has anyone seriously been triggered in their local supermarket when buying these products?

We wonder whether these acts have less to do with racism and more to do with polishing tarnished reputations unrelated to BLM. This site lists 10 most outrageous Nestle scandals. We have not verified these claims.

Seriously, if the name of candies or skin creams is the extent of the oppression of minorities, the war on racism has been largely won, no?

We wrote a while back about the removal of the Chief Wahoo caricature from the Cleveland Indians’ uniform, used since 1915,  by activist pressure.

Douglas Cardinal, an indigenous Canadian activist who pushed for the Cleveland team logo change said that “I had been thinking about the problems we have as a community with the issue of suicide, and I think there is a direct correlation between these kinds of depictions of our people as inferior and as caricatures to be mocked. It is wrong and it must stop.

Remember the same noise was made about the name of the Washington Redskins NFL team. Why not listen to the Native American community? In May 2016, the heavily left-leaning WaPo released a poll targeted at self-identified Native Americans which produced the same results as the Annenberg poll of 2004. That is 90% of the respondents were “not bothered” by the team’s name.

Perhaps the question should be put back to the activists. Can they guarantee that after the removal of the stigma caused by these supposedly inappropriate product names that alcohol-related deaths, diabetes and tuberculosis, which are way above the national average, will plummet? Will the highest rate of intimate partner violence or child abuse and neglect among the Native American community fall off a cliff by the removal of the name of candy in Australia? After all, it is they who push the idea of direct correlation. If nothing changes, what will have been the point of all this virtue signalling?

Hypocrisy in the way the West deals with (certain) faiths is rife too. The tragedy that was the Christchurch terror attack has led the Canterbury Crusaders rugby team to reconsider its name so as not to offend Muslims. Devout Muslim Sonny Bill Williams even played for the side after his conversion to Islam. Didn’t seem to phase him and he didn’t protest once. Although he did take exception to the Bank of NZ sponsorship displayed on his uniform as it conflicted with his religious beliefs.

Where have those same activists been to bully The Saracens in Middlesex to select a more palatable name for the sake of countless victims of Islamic terror in the UK?

What we do know to be an absolute truth is that whatever we cede to the mob, it will never be enough.

You’ll never guess WHO supports the letter urging a green recovery

Criony

Thomas Sowell once said, Those who cry out that the government should ‘do something’ never even ask for data on what has actually happened when the government did something, compared to what actually happened when the government did nothing.

According to an open letter signed by 200 bodies representing 40,000,000 health workers The Guardian penned,

Chief medical officers and chief scientific advisers must be directly involved in designing the stimulus packages now underway, the letter urges, in order to ensure they include considerations of public health and environmental concerns. They say public health systems should be strengthened, and they warn of how environmental degradation could help to unleash future diseases.

Who knew?

What better way to cash in on a pandemic by claiming outrageously false representation of members in an attempt to secure funding grants. The irony of this pandemic is that it has exposed the very authorities – who we dare not question – as amateurs in the very fields they claim expertise.

Perhaps we should ask ourselves why the revenue growth of the RACGP far outstrips that of the AMA? Should the AMA question why its membership has fallen from 95% of doctors to around 26% as it has taken on the role of a climate and social justice activist rather than the RACGP’s approach to be an advocate for better health?

How many of the 40 million health professionals described above believe the orthodoxy? It is bogus to say all followers willingly endorse what these membership bodies make blanket claims about.

Perhaps we should indulge the medical and scientific communities’ request by benchmarking their supposedly superior predictive powers against their howlingly inaccurate models produced during the coronavirus which have undoubtedly done more harm to the economy than good. Take Australia. We were told 15 million may be infected and 150,000 could die. The result to date. Less than 7,200 and 100 deaths. So much for listening to the professionals.

If we are to listen to intellectually superior academia in these fields, should we just accept the Australian National University’s latest plan to have climate change listed on death certificates?

Taken to its logical conclusion, this is an ideology speaking, not science.

We have already had decades of research to support just how flawed climate science models have proven. None of the catastrophic claims of being engulfed by rising sea levels or having to tell our kids they’d never see the snow has happened. Even hardened environmental activist Michael Moore concedes the ridiculous extent to crony socialism behind the green movement.

In February we documented the story of the National Climate Emergency Summit held in Melbourne. The mainstream media led us to believe that the best of the best scientific minds congregated. We pointed out that the list of speakers was largely devoid of scientific experts. 40% were activists, 16% were from the media, 12% were politicians, 11% were academics, 4% high school students and 3% doctors. Biased much?

Yet we have seen this type of shallow content activism before, especially with respect to open letters.

We reported that 268 Australian academics cosigned an open letter supporting the climate activist group, Extinction Rebellion.

While the content was predictable, the statistics were anything but convincing. We noted,

Perhaps the most hilarious signatory to the letter was Matthew Flinders of Flinders University. Unless the university website has another Matthew Flinders listed as an active member, our esteemed explorer seems to have navigated his way back to life…simply adding to the total lack of credibility of the cabal of 268 academics who believe they have some sort of intellectual superiority over us. If one ever wanted proof of our judiciary leaning hard left, 12% of the people that signed this document were in law-related fields.

“…Many of the woke academia come from fields such as stand up comedy, poetry, arts/education, sports management, archaeology, LatAm studies, sex, health and society, social services, veterinary biology, culture, gender, racism…are you catching the drift of those supporting XR? Even Monash University’s Campus Operations Manager and Telephony Application Administrator signed it! Wonderful individuals but should we hold our educators to such high standards when anyone’s opinion will do?”

“…Eerily, over 90% of the signatories do not appear to be renowned experts in teaching science, much less climate science. Which means, why weren’t the scientists in these universities willing to commit their names to a cause that fits their ideology? Who needs them when one faculty member from Monash University deals with ‘Imaginative Education‘?…”

What has been happening in practice? Mexico has already announced that renewables subsidies are out. It has recognized that intermittent energy has no place in rebuilding the economy in a post-pandemic world. Alberta’s energy minister Sonya Savage said with respect to the Trans Mountain expansion project, “Now is a great time to be building a pipeline because you can’t have protests of more than 15 people…” Actions, not words. 

Which brings us back to the point of blindly submitting to expert opinion which is little more than brazen activism.

The World Medical Association (WMA), the International Council of Nurses (ICN), the Commonwealth Nurses and Midwives Federation, the World Organization of Family Doctors and the World Federation of Public Health Associations, as well as thousands of individual health professionals, have signed this letter. 40 million others have not.

The proof is in the pudding. If the WMA  believes what it signed so strongly, why isn’t it included in its press releases as we publish? Admittedly it has upped the statement on its Twitter page to the 12,900 followers, a microbe in comparison to its supposed flock of 10 million physicians it represents. The ICN – which claims to represent 20 million nurses made it all too clear as to why we should dismiss it entirely – the WHO supports and promotes the letter. One wonders whether experts from the Chinese Ministry of Propaganda helped in its drafting. Afterall, China would be the biggest beneficiary were governments to fall into line.

Bes sure to read the quotes from the experts here.