Canada

Comrade Corbyn, the next British PM?

Something has been burning in the back of CM’s mind as the UK election looms this week. While polls point to the Tories winning, Corbyn is likely to do way better than what the pundits predict. Could he end up as PM? It is not an impossibility. In fact, the odds are increasingly in his favour. CM thinks Corbyn might actually do it.

While it is true that 1.3mn more people voted to leave in the largest ever democratic process in UK history, almost 13mn people didn’t vote on the basis they probably assumed it was a foregone conclusion. CM fundamentally believes that referendum results should have been respected regardless. Not showing up to vote is no excuse. None-the-less we now have a ‘youthquake’ who are desperate to overturn the referendum result to consider.

Of the 18.6mn that couldn’t vote in the referendum in 2016, official figures suggest that 3.85 million registered to vote between the day the election was called on Oct. 29 and Tuesday’s registration deadline — two-thirds of them under the age of 35. The youth seem far more preoccupied with socialism than their parents. While it is safe to assume that not all of the 13mn that didn’t vote were remainers, the youth could well be a decisive factor.

CM detests pretty much every policy that Corbyn espouses as it would be a total disaster for Britain in terms of future investment and immediate capital flight. Yet young kids being offered free everything lack the lived experiences of pre-Thatcher socialism and the economic calamity that ensued. They are utterly clueless in this respect. Yet Corbyn sings all of the woke causes of climate change, social justice and equal outcomes. They are on his side.

How well do millennials know their tyrants? A CIS study in Australia showed that 58% of millennials had a favourable view of socialism. Unfortunately, 51% did not know who Chairman Mao was. Another 32% did not know Stalin and 42% hadn’t heard of Lenin. If we combine with “know but not familiar” with “don’t know” we see almost 80%, 66% and 74% respectively. Oh how wonderful to learn in school about three men whose social policies led to the deaths of 10s of millions. With Marxist teachers rife throughout academia, Corbyn will have a plentiful stock of willing comrades in his back pocket.

Still, as much as the press smears the socialist opposition leader, UK PM Boris Johnson has been the man who has been looking to avoid confrontation at all costs. Surely if BoJo possessed a winning hand and held a superior manifesto, why wouldn’t he show up on the popular BBC programme hosted by Andrew Neil to state his case? It is a terrible look. Neil eviscerated Johnson without the PM being there to defend himself. Worse for BoJo is that his video went viral. What have you got to hide PM?

Corbyn could well snatch victory.  If the Tories take the attitude of former PM Theresa May’s snap election in June 2017 they should beware the barking electorate. Don’t forget how well Corbyn did in that fight.

CM stated in May 2017 the following,

“The first thought to come across CM’s head when Theresa May called this [June] election was, “bad idea.” This hubris she’d romp home may prove yet again how out of touch many politicians are with their constituents and how one must never believe in polls. I think she scrapes home but for now, wants the nightmare over.”

History revealed she scraped home with the help of the DUP. The EU has masterfully engineered delay after delay to keep the ‘remain’ dream alive. Now the youth have gathered steam as registered voters, they could well hand the EU a gift that will keep its Ponzi scheme alive.

When will politicians realise that being less worse no longer cuts it with the electorate? They are sick of the self-interest of the political class. They want to blow it up. Johnson has not looked good and the Brexit Party, which might have smashed the European elections, looks as though it does not have the traction it had hoped for. It could underwhelm.

Many of the Labour MPs may have ignored their elderly constituents but it would be a safe bet to say that the ultimate outcome in these so-called “betrayed” constituencies is anything but a doe deal to shun them.

Polls are damned near useless now. They failed to predict Trump. Failed to pick Brexit. Why put faith that the UK pollsters are any closer to the mark?

Politics is a random walk. Trudeau managed to cling on to power in Canada despite being found guilty of two breaches of conflicts of interest, blackface, cultural appropriation and many other gaffes. Clearly, it didn’t matter enough, just as “p*ssy grabbing” didn’t impact Trump in 2016.

Therefore CM expects a much higher chance of a Corbyn PM-ship or at the very least a parliament that puts us straight back where we were before the election – a hung parliament with no rudder and a Brexit that is watered down in such a way that it achieves nothing in the way of that originally intended.

CM sincerely hopes he is wrong on Corbyn. He would be an economic disaster at a time the Tories would have left a troubling fiscal legacy that is nothing to write home about.

If Corbyn wins, the UK will face severe capital flight. The pound will tank. A second referendum will be put forward. The outcomes will be dire. This is not being hysteric in any way. The markets are simply not pricing it in at all.

At least Sir James Dyson of vacuum cleaner fame saw the light. He is a Brexiteer but his lack of faith in the process has already seen him relocate the HQ to Singapore. Many more would follow. After all, if Corbyn wants to control the behaviour of British business on the FTSE and nationalise utilities it will hardly be a fertile ground to invest.

Teflon Trudeau

IMG_0098.JPG

At this stage, it seems that Canadian PM Justin Trudeau will form a minority government. Look forward to 4 more years of gaffes ahead. Having said that, the Conservatives need to take a long hard look in the mirror and realise they lost to a completely empty suit. That speaks volumes of their (lack of) popularity where it mattered. CM has said for a long time that Rona Ambrose was always the better choice to be the leader of the Conservatives. This was an own goal.

Trudeau had blackface, brown face, dressing like an Indian, using words like peoplekind, using two planes on the election campaign and the Trans Mountain pipeline debacle despite his climate emergency antics, found guilty of breaching ethics in the Aga Khan and SNC Lavalin scandals and even suggesting the use of haiku and poetry to assimilate returning ISIS fighters etc. against him but despite all that and more, it didn’t upset enough Canadians to sway their vote. All of this was on the ticket, much like Trump’s “grab ’em by the p#ssy” remarks. Say all you want about the morals or ethics of those that still voted for him despite all this. It is irrelevant. They did. Deal with it. For once Obama got a call right.

The Conservatives should have done far better but obviously failed to connect with the people. Scheer should step down as leader. Canada is obviously not that conservative despite a strong gain. Sadly, Scheer’s performances were quite poor in the final weeks when deflecting questions, especially related to hiring people that Trump used on his campaign. Just sounded disingenuous. Best to admit it and carry on. If there was a worry this would be discovered Scheer’s team shouldn’t have hired him.

No point in Conservatives wheeling out the old “we won the popular vote” excuse as the Democrats did in the 2016 US election as Trudeau has held onto power by the rules. In the end that is all that counts.

Still, Canadians, nor the Liberals should be cheering the outcome. Minority governments are poisonous. Australia’s 2010 election proved how disastrous compromise can be. As politicians look to serve their own interests, poor compromise is often made. Note that Singh’s NDP has been slaughtered so even as a coalition partner, he can’t wield so much power with such a poor outcome, so net-net Trudeau won’t face much of a different landscape.

On a positive note, by losing their majority, the Liberals will also lose a majority on parliamentary committees. This will mean far less ability to shut down investigations of scandals. A strengthened opposition may look into a deeper investigation on SNC-Lavalin but is that what Canadians want?

So with bitter disappointment, congratulations still go to Teflon Trudeau. CM believes it will be a case of buyer’s remorse in Canada. Conservatives have 4 more years to get their house in order. Much like Albanese is struggling with Labor’s platform in Australia, Conservatives need to wake up and smell the coffee.

It is worth assessing what has happened in Canada translating south of the border in next year’s US presidential election. Can people see how despite being cloaked in scandals, gaffes, blunders and many other flaws, Trudeau didn’t lose enough voters to cost him his job? That is why, despite the hateful media, Trump is set to romp home in 2020. Ultimately people care (and vote) about issues affecting them, not the morals or actions of those that hold power. Do people really think the Democrats are in with a shot with the current crowd of candidates? Trump has a Teflon coating too.

Trolling Trudeau

After it was revealed that ecomentalist Canadian PM Justin Trudeau was using two aircraft (one for him and the media entourage and the other for his luggage) on his campaign trail, opposition leader Andrew Scheer trolled him brilliantly. Hopefully those removal vans are already booked.

From black face to egg face

Poor old Canadian PM Justin Trudeau can’t catch a break. While he loves to lecture his peoplekind on all the woke topics, especially feminism, compelled speech and climate change he was outed by his opponent Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer in a debate for using two jets for his campaign – one to ferry him and the media and the other to carry his luggage.

Boy Blunder now looks like egg face. Surely Canadians will turf this empty social justice warrior on October 21st. His biggest achievements would appear to revolve around ethics scandals – Aga Khan, Morneau Shepell and SNC Lavalin to name three.

Still CM’s favourite was the cardboard cutouts of Trudeau that were sent to embassies and consulates throughout the world. It truly captured the two dimensional nature of the man.

SBS impartiality & Amanda McKenzie’s colossal clumsiness

Image may contain: 1 person, text

Good to see the SBS has made sure it has an impartial position on topics such as climate change remains steadfastly in line with its charter. It not only avoided enlargening the font in bold of certain choice words spoken by Climate Council CEO Amanda McKenzie but it also refrained from putting a picture of the broadcaster’s ultimate boss holding a lump of coal. The irony is that the Climate Council guru’s facts were, unfortunately, wrong.

PM Scott Morrison’s facts were by and large correct. Never mind that they disagreed with McKenzie’s narrative. Good to see that SBS followed up with a rigorous line of questioning to get her to point out exactly where the PM was out of line. Sadly, that was a bridge too far for the alarmist journalists.

Presumably “colossal bullshit” should have been evidence enough. The Climate Council did release a statement but instead of countering fact, it just produced its own interpretation of what it wanted to hear, rather than point out where Morrison had blatantly told porky pies.

For instance the Climate Council stated:

Morrison statement: “Australia is responsible for just 1.3 per cent of global emissions. Australia is doing our bit on climate change and we reject any suggestion to the contrary.”

Fact-check: Australia is the 17th largest polluter in the world, bigger than 175 countries.  We are the third-largest exporter of fossil fuels in the world. 

CM: It is irrelevant. Australia’s GHG as measured by the IPCC, IEA and Eurostat are 1.3% of human-made CO2. It is the truth from sources that align with the Climate Council. It only shows that the previous 16 countries absolutely dwarf us by comparison. China is 29.3% on its own.

Furthermore to make statements that our coal exports should be counted in our emissions number is the same argument as saying that every imported passenger car, transport truck and commercial jet should have emissions docked against America, Japan, Korea and the EU.  That would be consistent

Morrison statement: “And our Great Barrier Reef remains one of the world’s most pristine areas of natural beauty. Feel free to visit it. Our reef is vibrant and resilient and protected under the world’s most comprehensive reef management plan.”

Fact-check: In 2016 and 2017, the Great Barrier Reef was severely damaged through back-to-back bleaching events which killed half of all corals on the planet’s largest living structure. Australia’s current goal, if followed by other countries, would sign the death warrant of the Great Barrier Reef. 

CM: Maybe she should speak to Professor Peter Ridd and question why the James Cook University faculty lost (although still not completely settled due to an appeal) all aspects of the unfair dismissal case against it for Ridd’s refusal to buckle to the cabal’s orthodoxy. The reef is not dying. It is thriving. So much so that Greenpeace needed to use a picture of bleached coral in The Philippines to distort the truth because the GBR presented no such photographic opportunities.

Morrison statement: “Our latest estimates show both emissions per person and the emissions intensity of the economy are at their lowest levels in 29 years.”

Fact-check:  Australia has the highest emissions per capita in the developed world. It is true that Australia’s emissions per capita have fallen more than most countries [is that colossal bullshit?], but this is from an extraordinarily high baseline [so what?] and has largely been driven by rapid population growth. Even with this drop, we still have the highest per capita emissions in the developed world. Our emissions per capita are higher than Saudi Arabia, a country not known for its action on climate change. Ultimately, our international targets are not based on per capita emissions. 

CM: Australia’s CO2 emissions per unit of GDP since 1990 have fallen 33.9%. Wrong Amanda, Canada has higher emissions per capita at 16.85 vs our 16.45. Unless under Justin Trudeau Canada has lost developed nation status which is highly possible! Saudi Arabia is 19.39. So, in fact, your comments are incorrect.

We could go on. So if Amanda McKenzie wants to throw the PM under the bus with profanity it helps if she actually provided accurate figures.

Perhaps the most colossal bullshit to come from McKenzie was this,

Over the winter we saw bushfires burning across Australia while the Amazon rainforest and the Arctic were on fire. A major new report shows that suburbs in Sydney, Perth and Melbourne could experience serious sea level disasters every year on our current trajectory.

It would appear that the Australian seaside property prices aren’t at (excuse the pun) fire-sale prices and that the bushfires in the Amazon, Australia and the Arctic are not related to climate change. The truth is that the acreage lost to bushfires have fallen 24% over the last 18 years. Unless NASA is lying.  Maybe the Climate Council has been channelling the Sierra Club CEO Aaron Mair?

 

Ouch

Pictures tell a thousand words. The circles to the left are quite cutting.